Nazgul · Commenter of the Month · 6 points · *
I would love it if all scientific disciplines (and I mostly mean theorists) would be candid about what they have really no idea about. Firstly it would be inspiring to know that there are still undiscovered parts to knowledge; secondly it would give maybe a more realistic expectation from science instead of the omniscient idea that many people seem to have about it.

I guess the problem is that the prestiege and "employability"(?) of scientists largely depend on how well they can convince those with money (state, or private) that they are useful.

My experience in my own field (economics) is a case in point. We rarely if ever talk about how the complexity of a modern economy is far far far beyond the capacity for vision for human knowledge or any computational knowledge. The vast majority of things that matter in our science exist in people's head and we are not able to really observe them (perceptions on utility, perceptions on alternative costs, technical knowledge, expectations about the future, individual tastes and desires etc.). There is not a SINGULAR constant value in all of economics. We simply are unable to reliably predict the smallest quantum of our science (a human), but the phenomena are often not sufficiently mass phenomena for the law of large numbers to abstract away from individuality.

TLDR: we are not capable to reliably measure, forecast, and sometimes even to explain ex post, the things that occur in economists. But it would be VERY great if people didn't have an irrational expectation from economics, and understand that it is the human economy itself that is simply too complex to reliably predict or dissect and understand in detail.

Yet we are able to obscure this fact with econometrics which makes it look as if we have concrete numbers in our hands. When in fact we have almost nothing. But most economists - knowing this - are unwilling to rat on other economists, because our living depends on it.

(Okay maybe I'm a bit harsh, economics is very good at pattern prediction, but we are rubbish at quantitative prediction, all I'm saying).

I wonder if other people have similar experiences.

Nazgul · Commenter of the Month · 4 points ·
bottoms texting outside your house? :0

Nazgul · Commenter of the Month · 1 points ·
Oh I'm so sorry xD

Nazgul · Commenter of the Month · 3 points ·
I'm sorry a black man refused you oral sex :[

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Nazgul · Commenter of the Month · 3 points ·
Ámen testvéreim

Nazgul · Commenter of the Month · 5 points ·
I don't mind muslims but it's smelly fucing commies where I draw the line.

Nazgul · Commenter of the Month · 1 points · *
Materials for fireworks are from outside the US. Protectionism is fun if you are a protected worker in a protected industry, it sucks for everyone else as consumers (including you yourself in the capacity of a consumer).

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/economy/3462041/fireworks-advocacy-group-warns-shortage-fourth-of-july-next-year/

But for this year apparently there is enough stockpiled.

Nazgul · Commenter of the Month · 1 points ·
turns out, it did

Nazgul · Commenter of the Month · 1 points ·
The only wiki editor who is not repulsive


:(